Saturday, November 3, 2007

Yes, this is not an ordinary election

Leaving aside Mr Shanahan’s strange way of seeing margin of error only applying in the government’s favour not Labor’s, it is definitely true that the swing in the marginals is not as pronounced as that happening in the government’s safe seats. Newspoll trend surveys have been showing the same thing even in Beazley’s day. The 5-10% swings by state that Newspoll reports in the marginals is not out of line with what the those trend surveys has been showing.

Full post at The Piping Shrike